California
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 74.6315Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 34-15 906 H Texas So 35- 3 913 H Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 27-14 920 A San Diego St MIDW ( 8- 5, 77.5) 0-34 927 A Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 69.1) 24-28 1004 H Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 21-45 1017 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 21-18 1024 A Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 34-42 1101 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 21-30 1108 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 29-26 1122 A Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 10-31 1129 H SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 38-35 1224 N Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 35-31
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Oregon St 34-15 19 6 +++ 7.56
913 H Minnesota 27-14 13 3 +++ 9.92
920 A San Diego St 0-34 -34 -8 -- -5.83
927 A Boston Col ` 24-28 -4 0 -- -4.24
1004 H Duke 21-45 -24 -1 --- -12.74
1017 H UNC 21-18 3 5 - -2.43
1024 A Va Tech 34-42 -8 -2 --- -6.37
1101 H Virginia 21-30 -9 -5 -- -4.35
1108 A Louisville 29-26 3 -12 +++ 15.19
1122 A Stanford 10-31 -21 -5 --- -9.08
1129 H SMU 38-35 3 -4 +++ 6.79
1224 N Hawaii 35-31 4 -2 ++ 5.57
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 H Duke 21-45 -24 -1 --- -12.74 1024 A Va Tech 34-42 -8 -2 --- -6.37 1122 A Stanford 10-31 -21 -5 --- -9.08 920 A San Diego St 0-34 -34 -8 -- -5.83 927 A Boston Col ` 24-28 -4 0 -- -4.24 1101 H Virginia 21-30 -9 -5 -- -4.35 1017 H UNC 21-18 3 5 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 A Oregon St 34-15 19 6 +++ 7.56 913 H Minnesota 27-14 13 3 +++ 9.92 1108 A Louisville 29-26 3 -12 +++ 15.19 1129 H SMU 38-35 3 -4 +++ 6.79 1224 N Hawaii 35-31 4 -2 ++ 5.57 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Oregon St ( 2-10, 62.9) 34-15 -36.96 14.26 5.26 1.06 41.47
0 H Minnesota ( 8- 5, 76.8) 27-14 -23.09 28.13 -5.26 1.06 48.60
0 A San Diego St ( 8- 5, 77.5) 0-34 -22.36 28.86 5.26 1.06 -9.08
0 A Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 69.1) 24-28 -30.76 20.46 5.26 1.06 -13.55
0 H Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 21-45 -18.74 32.48 -5.26 1.06 -12.75
0 H UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 21-18 -25.43 25.78 -5.26 1.06 43.62
0 A Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 34-42 -28.90 22.32 5.26 1.06 -12.56
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 21-30 -15.36 35.86 -5.26 1.06 -10.95
0 A Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 29-26 -18.34 32.88 5.26 1.06 81.05
0 A Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 10-31 -25.61 25.61 5.26 1.06 -10.81
0 H SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 38-35 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 1.06 63.19
0 N Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 35-31 -23.70 27.52 -0.00 1.06 58.49
------
266.71
|
winning pts = 336.4149 losing points = -69.7097
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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